Affiliate disclosure

ChanceIndex may earn a commission when you follow certain links to prediction-market platforms and open an account or fund it. These are affiliate links, and they are always labelled as advertising where they appear.

Independence of the data

Affiliate relationships never affect the probabilities, charts, or written context on the site. The numbers come directly from the source platforms' public data and are presented the same way regardless of any commercial arrangement.

Not financial advice

Nothing on ChanceIndex is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Trading on prediction markets carries risk, is restricted in some jurisdictions, and is entirely your own decision. See our methodology for how the data is produced.