Crypto
Probabilities for crypto price milestones, protocol events and regulation, drawn from prediction-market prices.
Markets by volume
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?51.5%$47.4MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?3.8%$27.0MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in July?53.0%$8.9MWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?48.0%$7.9MWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?5.9%$4.4MPump.fun airdrop by ....?14.5%$2.8MMegaETH airdrop by...?17.0%$2.6MWhat price will Ethereum hit in July?50.0%$2.0MSatoshi's identity be proven by...?4.5%$2.0MWhat price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?44.0%$1.7MClarity Act signed into law in 2026?36.5%$1.7MMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?36.0%$1.2MWhat price will Solana hit in 2026?52.5%$1.1MWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?2.6%$1.0MBitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 202667.5%$864.7KWhat price will Lighter hit in 2026?40.0%$744.8KBitcoin best month in 2026?19.0%$736.0KWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?0.4%$676.5KTotal commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO46.5%$637.9KWill stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?7.5%$586.0KOKX IPO in 2026?9.5%$581.0KHyperliquid airdrop by ....?41.5%$507.8KSBF released from custody in 2026?4.3%$440.6KWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?26.5%$425.0KWhat price will Solana hit in July?41.5%$423.4KHow much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?49.1%$330.1KWhat price will Zcash hit in 2026?54.5%$324.0KWhat price will Plasma hit in 2026?50.5%$302.6KStablecoins depeg before 2027?7.0%$298.3KWhat price will XRP hit in July?44.5%$278.5KAltcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?67.5%$274.0KHyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?17.0%$255.1KWhat price will Ethena hit in 2026?51.0%$241.0KSTRC hits $100 by…42.5%$227.7KWhat price will XRP hit in 2026?48.5%$211.0KWhich companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?46.0%$200.7KWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?4.9%$191.9KWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?4.2%$186.4KWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?8.5%$165.3KWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?79.5%$157.7KWhat price will BNB hit in 2026?40.5%$130.1KMajor CEX insolvent in 2026?5.5%$128.6KWhat price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?51.0%$122.8KWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?13.5%$110.7KWhat price will Dogecoin hit in July?6.0%$100.4KWhat price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?44.0%$98.3KWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?3.8%$95.7KHow many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?51.5%$92.8KWill Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?51.5%$89.2KWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?30.0%$84.3KWill Solana hit $60 or $140 first?82.1%$80.5KWhat will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?72.5%$75.7KWhat price will Uniswap hit in 2026?13.0%$73.1KWhat price will Aster hit in 2026?44.5%$71.3KRecord crypto liquidation in 2026?7.7%$70.1KTotal crypto hack value in 2026?49.0%$67.9KTom Lee charged by December 31?5.5%$58.5KMichael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?6.5%$55.4KBen Pasternak jailed?1.9%$51.3KUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?17.5%$48.0K