Movers
Largest probability moves · updated 12:27 PM
Last 24 hours
- Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?64.0% 26.5%-37.5
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?45.8% 12.7%-33.1
- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?10.2% 42.6%+32.5
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?42.5% 74.0%+31.5
- Will WTI Crude Oil hit $95 in October?91.5% 60.5%-31.0
- Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?41.0% 69.5%+28.5
- Will Nathaniel Lowe win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?25.3% 3.3%-22.0
- Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?4.4% 25.8%+21.4
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?66.0% 45.0%-21.0
- Will Peso Pluma release an album in 2026?9.5% 29.5%+20.0
- Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?67.0% 48.0%-19.0
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?43.5% 58.5%+15.0
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?88.5% 75.0%-13.5
- Will Solana reach $110 in October?73.0% 60.5%-12.5
- Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?36.0% 47.5%+11.5
- Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?35.0% 46.0%+11.0
- Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?82.5% 71.5%-11.0
- Will Gold hit $4,100 in October?62.0% 73.0%+11.0
- Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?55.0% 65.5%+10.5
- Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?26.5% 36.5%+10.0
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?62.5% 52.5%-10.0
- Will Donald Trump visit West Virginia in 2026?32.0% 42.0%+10.0
- Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?50.8% 60.3%+9.5
- Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?31.0% 40.0%+9.0
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?36.5% 27.5%-9.0
Last 7 days
- Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?20.6% 96.7%+76.0
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?34.0% 88.0%+54.0
- Will WTI Crude Oil hit $100 in October?37.5% 87.5%+50.0
- Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?34.5% 82.0%+47.5
- Will Jesse Legree win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0% 4.0%-46.0
- Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?50.0% 5.1%-45.0
- Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?74.0% 31.5%-42.5
- Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?69.0% 26.5%-42.5
- Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?20.8% 62.4%+41.6
- Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?44.5% 3.5%-41.0
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?24.0% 64.7%+40.7
- Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?53.4% 90.2%+36.8
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?81.5% 45.0%-36.5
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?48.5% 80.0%+31.5
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?64.5% 35.5%-29.0
- Will Solana dip to $100 in October?43.5% 70.0%+26.5
- Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?39.0% 64.5%+25.5
- Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?59.8% 35.1%-24.7
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?69.5% 45.5%-24.0
- Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?38.1% 61.6%+23.4
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?40.5% 17.5%-23.0
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?23.5% 46.5%+23.0
- Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?2.8% 25.8%+23.0
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?75.5% 52.5%-23.0
- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?19.9% 42.6%+22.7