Movers
Largest probability moves · updated 04:03 AM
Last 24 hours
- Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?92.5% 31.5%-61.0
- US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?51.5% 14.5%-37.0
- Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?11.8% 45.6%+33.9
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?44.5% 16.5%-28.0
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?67.5% 95.5%+28.0
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?66.5% 43.5%-23.0
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?84.8% 68.2%-16.6
- Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?37.0% 20.5%-16.5
- Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?21.5% 38.0%+16.5
- Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?13.2% 29.3%+16.1
- Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026?9.0% 25.0%+16.0
- Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?70.5% 54.9%-15.6
- Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?27.5% 12.0%-15.5
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?29.5% 14.0%-15.5
- Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?58.6% 43.4%-15.2
- Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?29.5% 14.5%-15.0
- Will Donald Trump visit Missouri in 2026?32.5% 47.5%+15.0
- Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?21.5% 7.2%-14.3
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?24.9% 39.0%+14.2
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?44.0% 30.0%-14.0
- Will S&P 500 hit $8,000 in December?61.0% 47.0%-14.0
- Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?18.0% 31.5%+13.5
- Will WTI Crude Oil hit $95 in September?76.5% 90.0%+13.5
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?33.0% 20.0%-13.0
- Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?47.0% 59.5%+12.5
Last 7 days
- Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?16.5% 81.5%+65.0
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?16.5% 81.5%+65.0
- Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?86.5% 23.5%-63.0
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?61.5% 13.0%-48.5
- Will Solana reach $140 in September?50.0% 5.5%-44.5
- Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?44.3% 1.7%-42.6
- Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?3.9% 45.6%+41.8
- Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?50.0% 11.5%-38.5
- Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?39.3% 1.6%-37.8
- Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?23.0% 59.5%+36.5
- Will S&P 500 hit $7,000 in December?61.0% 26.5%-34.5
- Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?36.5% 2.2%-34.3
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?50.0% 16.0%-34.0
- Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?59.0% 29.0%-30.0
- Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?43.0% 13.5%-29.5
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?82.5% 53.0%-29.5
- Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?67.5% 38.5%-29.0
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?68.5% 39.5%-29.0
- Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?12.0% 40.5%+28.5
- Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?48.5% 20.5%-28.0
- Will WTI Crude Oil hit $85 in September?69.5% 43.0%-26.5
- Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?33.5% 7.0%-26.5
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?22.0% 47.5%+25.5
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?47.0% 72.5%+25.5
- Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?42.0% 17.5%-24.5