Prediction market odds & probabilities
Live probabilities from prediction markets — elections, the economy, crypto and sports. Every number is the market price, updated continuously.
Movers today
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?79.5% 12.5%-67.0
- Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?46.2% 4.2%-42.0
- Will Cody Bellinger win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?40.8% 5.1%-35.8
- Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?3.9% 37.2%+33.4
- Will the San Francisco Giants hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?34.4% 3.6%-30.8
Top markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202822.3%$1.3BRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849.0%$687.4MPresidential Election Winner 202823.4%$683.7MF1 Drivers' Champion74.7%$201.0MNetanyahu out by...?44.0%$124.0MBrazil Presidential Election63.5%$122.8MNext French Presidential Election31.4%$119.0MVenezuela leader end of 2026?82.0%$95.4MKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?9.5%$70.7MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?2.1%$65.0MWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?4.5%$64.6MWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17.5%$58.6MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?50.5%$52.3MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?86.0%$48.0MPro Football: 2027 Champion13.5%$43.9MCalifornia Governor Election Winner92.8%$40.7MWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.7%$39.7MMLB World Series Champion 202635.5%$38.9MIran leader end of 2026?81.0%$38.5MWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3.6%$35.3MFed Decision in September?71.5%$32.0MWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?52.9%$32.0MNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...?8.5%$30.9MUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?7.5%$29.1MBallon d'Or Winner 202659.0%$28.4MF1 Constructors' Champion83.5%$28.3MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?3.4%$27.1MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?6.5%$24.6MIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?60.5%$24.4MIran leadership change by...?26.5%$23.4MNobel Peace Prize Winner 20267.5%$23.4MWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?5.5%$21.8MPutin out as President of Russia by...?11.5%$20.4MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?2.1%$19.9MMLS Cup Winner 202628.5%$19.6MWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?69.5%$19.2MWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?35.5%$18.2MHantavirus pandemic in 2026?3.9%$17.8MIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?7.5%$17.7MNBA: 2027 Champion21.5%$17.0M