Prediction market odds & probabilities
Live probabilities from prediction markets — elections, the economy, crypto and sports. Every number is the market price, updated continuously.
Movers today
- Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?5.5% 98.3%+92.8
- Will Silver hit $60 in August?3.6% 50.0%+46.4
- Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?8.5% 54.5%+46.0
- Will Pete Crow-Armstrong lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?4.8% 45.7%+40.9
- Will Solana reach $110 in August?45.0% 8.5%-36.5
Top markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202819.9%$1.3BPresidential Election Winner 202825.4%$696.0MRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849.1%$693.3MF1 Drivers' Champion74.7%$201.7MBrazil Presidential Election55.5%$139.9MNetanyahu out by...?48.5%$124.1MNext French Presidential Election33.4%$123.8MVenezuela leader end of 2026?83.9%$95.9MKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?7.5%$72.3MFed Decision in September?52.5%$67.7MWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?3.9%$66.1MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.5%$65.4MWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15.5%$63.3MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?48.0%$61.3MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?87.9%$50.2MPro Football: 2027 Champion17.5%$48.2MCalifornia Governor Election Winner95.1%$40.9MWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.8%$40.4MMLB World Series Champion 202630.5%$39.9MIran leader end of 2026?82.8%$39.0MWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3.8%$35.4MPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?49.9%$34.2MBallon d'Or Winner 202664.5%$31.6MNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...?8.0%$30.9MUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?4.5%$29.2MF1 Constructors' Champion89.5%$28.6MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?17.0%$27.3MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?21.0%$27.2MIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?67.0%$27.0MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?6.5%$25.3MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?0.1%$25.0MIran leadership change by...?25.5%$24.4MNobel Peace Prize Winner 20268.0%$23.6MUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?59.6%$23.5MWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?71.5%$23.4MPutin out as President of Russia by...?14.5%$22.2MWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?4.5%$21.8MNBA: 2027 Champion21.5%$19.9MMLS Cup Winner 202619.5%$19.8MUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion50.0%$19.5M