Prediction market odds & probabilities
Live probabilities from prediction markets — elections, the economy, crypto and sports. Every number is the market price, updated continuously.
Movers today
- Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?64.0% 27.0%-37.0
- Will WTI Crude Oil hit $95 in October?90.0% 60.5%-29.5
- Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?41.0% 69.5%+28.5
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?80.0% 52.5%-27.5
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?78.0% 53.4%-24.6
Top markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202816.6%$1.3BPresidential Election Winner 202821.1%$717.0MRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849.0%$712.6MF1 Drivers' Champion97.8%$204.4MNext French Presidential Election46.5%$152.3MNetanyahu out by...?39.0%$124.6MVenezuela leader end of 2026?71.5%$98.4MKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?7.5%$76.2MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?53.5%$76.0MWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15.5%$74.4MWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5.2%$74.0MPro Football: 2027 Champion12.7%$67.6MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.3%$66.5MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?96.9%$54.4MUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion50.0%$53.9MBallon d'Or Winner 202664.5%$51.9MPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?50.4%$47.1MMLB World Series Champion 202664.7%$45.2MFed Decision in October?86.5%$44.8MWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?2.1%$44.2MCalifornia Governor Election Winner95.9%$42.0MUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?57.5%$41.0MIran leader end of 2026?86.9%$40.2MIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?45.5%$36.0MWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2.4%$35.7MNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...?5.5%$30.9MUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?3.1%$29.6MPutin out as President of Russia by...?10.0%$29.4MF1 Constructors' Champion99.1%$29.2MIran leadership change by...?24.5%$27.5MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?5.5%$27.3MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?21.0%$27.3MNBA: 2027 Champion21.5%$26.2MBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms62.5%$24.4MClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5.6%$24.1MEPL: 2027 Champion50.0%$22.3MWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?3.5%$22.2MMLS Cup Winner 202620.2%$22.0MUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?12.5%$20.0MHantavirus pandemic in 2026?1.4%$18.6M