Electoral College Margin of Victory?: Result
Prediction markets price 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104 at 100.0%.
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Resolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior
Updated
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 17 tracked outcomes and $116.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104, is priced at 100.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice