Fed Interest Rates: November 2024: Result

Prediction markets price Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting at 100.0%.

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Resolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior

Updated

98%99%99%100%Jul 16Aug 2Aug 19Sep 4Sep 21

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $189.5M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting, is priced at 100.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice