Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?: Result

Prediction markets price Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch at 100.0%.

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Resolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior

Updated

98%99%99%100%Jul 16Aug 2Aug 19Sep 4Sep 21

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 8 tracked outcomes and $106.7M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch, is priced at 100.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice