New York City Mayoral Election: Result

Prediction markets price Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election at 100.0%.

Zohran MamdaniResolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior

Updated

98%99%99%100%Jul 16Aug 2Aug 19Sep 4Sep 21

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 19 tracked outcomes and $429.6M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election, is priced at 100.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice