Popular Vote Margin of Victory?: Result
Prediction markets price GOP wins popular vote by 1-2% at 100.0%.
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Resolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior
Updated
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 17 tracked outcomes and $124.0M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%, is priced at 100.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice