US strikes Iran by...?: Result
Prediction markets price US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026 at 42.0%.
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Resolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior
Updated
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 65 tracked outcomes and $529.0M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026, is priced at 42.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice