US strikes Iran by...?: Result

Prediction markets price US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026 at 42.0%.

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Resolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior

Updated

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Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 65 tracked outcomes and $529.0M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026, is priced at 42.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice