US x Iran ceasefire by...?: Result
Prediction markets price US x Iran ceasefire by June 30 at 100.0%.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Resolved · markets gave 100.0% a week prior
Updated
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 12 tracked outcomes and $280.1M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, US x Iran ceasefire by June 30, is priced at 100.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice