Sep 11, 2026
Probability rose from 39.5% to 49.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
2026 Coin Launches: Top 100 Ranking Probability
Prediction markets price Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100 at 52.0%.
52.0%+2.5 pts 24h
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Updated · Volume $93.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 52.0% | +2.5 |
| Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 47.0% | +2.0 |
| Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 39.5% | +1.0 |
| Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 38.0% | +0.5 |
| Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 26.5% | +1.5 |
Context
Sep 11, 2026
Probability fell from 56.5% to 43.5% — a 13.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 10, 2026
Probability rose from 44.5% to 56.5% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 2, 2026
Probability rose from 47.5% to 59.0% — a 11.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 1, 2026
Probability rose from 45.0% to 57.0% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 30, 2026
Probability rose from 41.5% to 53.5% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 29, 2026
Probability rose from 38.5% to 47.5% — a 9.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 28, 2026
Probability rose from 43.5% to 54.5% — a 11.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 25, 2026
Probability fell from 61.0% to 58.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 24, 2026
Probability rose from 52.5% to 61.0% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $93.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100, is priced at 52.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice