How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100 at 48.5%.

48.5%-6.0 pts 24h

Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Updated · Volume $92.8K

25%39%52%66%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?74.5%+0.5
Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?48.5%-6.0
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?41.5%-0.5
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?36.5%0.0
Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?25.0%-23.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 226.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $92.8K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100, is priced at 48.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice