Aug 30, 2026
Probability rose from 41.5% to 53.5% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
2026 Coin Launches: Top 100 Ranking Probability
Prediction markets price Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100 at 48.5%.
48.5%-6.5 pts 24h
Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Updated · Volume $92.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 48.5% | -6.5 |
| Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 47.0% | -3.5 |
| Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 47.0% | +1.5 |
| Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 43.5% | 0.0 |
| Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? | 43.5% | -1.5 |
Context
Aug 29, 2026
Probability rose from 38.5% to 47.5% — a 9.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 28, 2026
Probability rose from 43.5% to 54.5% — a 11.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 25, 2026
Probability fell from 61.0% to 58.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 24, 2026
Probability rose from 52.5% to 61.0% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 21, 2026
Probability fell from 61.5% to 53.0% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 20, 2026
Probability rose from 44.5% to 54.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 20, 2026
Probability rose from 41.5% to 53.5% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 19, 2026
Probability rose from 44.5% to 56.0% — a 11.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 18, 2026
Probability rose from 46.5% to 58.5% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $92.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100, is priced at 48.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice