How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act at 7.0%.

7.0%0.0 pts 24h

Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

Updated · Volume $137.5K

4%6%8%10%Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2Oct 9Oct 17

Across platforms

0.0 pt spread

Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

  • Polymarket7.0%
  • Kalshi7.0%

Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.

OutcomeProbability24h
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?7.0%0.0
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?7.0%+0.5
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?6.0%0.0
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?5.7%+0.6
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?5.7%-0.1
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?5.0%-1.0
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?4.3%-1.8
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?4.2%+0.6

The top 5 outcomes account for 70.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 8 tracked outcomes and $137.5K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act, is priced at 7.0%.

Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice

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