MLB World Series Champion 2026: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series at 30.5%.

30.5%-0.5 pts 24h

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Updated · Volume $39.9M

28%33%37%42%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?30.5%-0.5
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?12.3%+0.2
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?9.5%0.0
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?7.3%+0.3
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?6.3%0.0
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?6.2%+0.4
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?6.2%+0.1
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?5.3%-0.1
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?3.5%0.0
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?2.4%-0.1
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?1.8%-0.3
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?1.8%-0.4
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?1.7%-0.7
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?1.4%-0.3
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?1.4%+0.1
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?1.3%-0.1
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?0.5%+0.2
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?0.4%0.0
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?0.3%0.0
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?0.1%-0.1
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will another team win the 2026 World Series?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 65.6% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 31 tracked outcomes and $39.9M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series, is priced at 30.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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