MLB World Series Champion 2026: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series at 31.5%.

31.5%-1.0 pts 24h

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Updated · Volume $40.2M

26%32%37%42%Aug 10Aug 17Aug 25Sep 1Sep 9
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?31.5%-1.0
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?13.3%+0.1
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?9.5%0.0
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?8.1%-0.1
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?7.0%0.0
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?6.6%+0.4
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?5.5%0.0
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?5.5%+0.4
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?3.9%+0.1
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?2.9%-0.0
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?2.1%+0.1
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?1.8%-0.3
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?1.3%+0.1
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?1.2%-0.1
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?0.9%0.0
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?0.8%-0.3
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?0.1%0.0
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?0.0%0.0
Will another team win the 2026 World Series?0.0%0.0
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?0.0%-0.1

The top 5 outcomes account for 67.7% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 31 tracked outcomes and $40.2M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series, is priced at 31.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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