Stablecoins depeg before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price GHO depeg by December 31 at 7.0%.
7.0%-6.5 pts 24h
GHO depeg by December 31?
Updated · Volume $298.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| USR depeg by December 31? | 100.0% | — |
| GHO depeg by December 31? | 7.0% | -6.5 |
| USD0 depeg by December 31? | 7.0% | 0.0 |
| USDS depeg by December 31? | 7.0% | 0.0 |
| USDTb depeg by December 31? | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| DAI depeg by December 31? | 6.5% | -0.5 |
| USD1 depeg by December 31? | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| PYUSD depeg by December 31? | 5.5% | — |
| USDE depeg by December 31? | 5.5% | -1.0 |
| USDC depeg by December 31? | 1.4% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 127.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $298.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, GHO depeg by December 31, is priced at 7.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice