Stablecoins depeg before 2027?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price USDTb depeg by December 31 at 52.0%.

52.0%+39.5 pts 24h

USDTb depeg by December 31?

Updated · Volume $302.2K

2%21%40%59%Aug 14Aug 21Aug 29Sep 5Sep 12
OutcomeProbability24h
USR depeg by December 31?100.0%0.0
USDTb depeg by December 31?52.0%+39.5
USD0 depeg by December 31?19.0%-1.5
PYUSD depeg by December 31?9.5%+0.5
USD1 depeg by December 31?6.0%0.0
USDS depeg by December 31?5.5%-0.5
USDE depeg by December 31?4.8%-1.0
DAI depeg by December 31?4.7%+0.1
GHO depeg by December 31?3.6%0.0
USDC depeg by December 31?1.1%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $302.2K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, USDTb depeg by December 31, is priced at 52.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

Embed this widget
TypeTheme

Free to use. Please keep the “ChanceIndex” attribution. It updates itself — no scripts, no cookies.