Stablecoins depeg before 2027?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price PYUSD depeg by December 31 at 8.2%.

8.2%0.0 pts 24h

PYUSD depeg by December 31?

Updated · Volume $304.2K

0%5%10%15%Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2Oct 9Oct 17
OutcomeProbability24h
USR depeg by December 31?100.0%0.0
PYUSD depeg by December 31?8.2%0.0
USD1 depeg by December 31?6.5%0.0
USD0 depeg by December 31?6.0%0.0
USDS depeg by December 31?5.3%+1.0
USDTb depeg by December 31?5.1%-0.4
DAI depeg by December 31?5.0%-0.1
GHO depeg by December 31?3.4%+0.6
USDE depeg by December 31?2.9%+0.0
USDC depeg by December 31?1.5%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $304.2K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, PYUSD depeg by December 31, is priced at 8.2%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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