Stablecoins depeg before 2027?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price USD0 depeg by December 31 at 17.5%.

17.5%-1.0 pts 24h

USD0 depeg by December 31?

Updated · Volume $301.4K

12%19%25%31%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 31
OutcomeProbability24h
USR depeg by December 31?100.0%0.0
USD0 depeg by December 31?17.5%-1.0
PYUSD depeg by December 31?10.5%-0.5
USDTb depeg by December 31?9.0%0.0
USDE depeg by December 31?6.8%0.0
USDS depeg by December 31?6.5%0.0
USD1 depeg by December 31?6.0%0.0
DAI depeg by December 31?4.0%-0.5
GHO depeg by December 31?3.8%+0.3
USDC depeg by December 31?1.1%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $301.4K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, USD0 depeg by December 31, is priced at 17.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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