Jul 17, 2026
Probability rose from 91.0% to 100.0% — a 9.0-point move over the past day.
Credible Public Sale: Markets See Overwhelming Confidence in Commitments
Prediction markets have settled Over $14M committed to the Credible public sale at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Over $14M committed to the Credible public saleEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $2.3M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Over $14M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $16M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $10M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $12M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $6M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $2M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $8M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $27.5M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $4M committed to the Credible public sale? | 100.0% | — |
| Over $95M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $70M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $55M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $65M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $90M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $75M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $100M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
| Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? | 0.1% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice