What price will Lighter hit in 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027 at 43.0%.
43.0%-4.5 pts 24h
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Updated · Volume $744.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | 64.0% | +0.5 |
| Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | 43.0% | -4.5 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | 15.5% | -2.5 |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | 13.0% | +0.7 |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | 6.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 407.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 8 tracked outcomes and $744.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027, is priced at 43.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice