What price will Lighter hit in 2026?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027 at 42.0%.

42.0%-5.0 pts 24h

Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?

Updated · Volume $797.6K

20%38%56%75%Aug 25Aug 26Aug 28Aug 29Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?85.5%+14.0
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?78.5%-2.0
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?42.0%-5.0
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?34.5%-6.0
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?14.6%+0.3
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?9.2%+0.3
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?4.7%+0.3
Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?3.0%0.0
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?2.9%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 13 tracked outcomes and $797.6K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027, is priced at 42.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

Embed this widget
TypeTheme

Free to use. Please keep the “ChanceIndex” attribution. It updates itself — no scripts, no cookies.