Hyperliquid HIP-3 Open Interest: 2026 Threshold Odds
Markets price the headline outcome at 100.0%, indicating near-certain expectations that open interest will cross this threshold before the year is out, based on data updated 9 min ago.
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?
Updated · Volume $100.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $2B in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $1B in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | 87.7% | -3.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | 39.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? | 25.4% | +3.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? | 13.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? | 11.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? | 7.5% | 0.0 |
The headline threshold is near-certain to be attained, and the next couple of thresholds are similarly near-certain; the odds then decline as the bar rises higher.
Context
The probability has fluctuated from 33.0% to 43.0% and now stands at 100.0%, a 0.0 pts move in the last day. The market resolves to 'Yes' if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest equals or surpasses the given threshold at any time in 2026; otherwise it settles 'No.' The resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the 'Total' open interest from the 'HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest' chart when hovering over a daily bar. A daily value is treated as final once the next day’s data point appears. If the source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will rely on other reliable public data. The year’s end Jan 1, 2027 serves as the hard deadline. Each new daily data release from Artemis can shift the odds for all thresholds, and significant capital flows into or out of HIP-3 positions would be reflected in the open interest figures, potentially altering probabilities across the board.
FAQ
What qualifies as a 'Yes' for a given threshold?
A threshold resolves 'Yes' if at any point in 2026 the total HIP-3 open interest published by Artemis reaches or exceeds that threshold.
How is open interest measured?
It is the 'Total' value shown when hovering over a daily bar in the 'HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest' chart on the Artemis Hyperliquid page.
What happens if the data source becomes unavailable?
The market would then resolve based on other reliable public data sources.
When are daily values finalized?
A daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published by Artemis.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice