Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act at 52.0%.
52.0%+20.0 pts 24h
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Updated · Volume $70.8K
Across platforms
2.0 pt spreadWill Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
- Polymarket52.0%
- Kalshi54.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 52.0% | +20.0 |
| Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 46.9% | +23.3 |
| Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 46.9% | +24.6 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 31.0% | +5.0 |
| Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 26.5% | +1.0 |
| Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 25.5% | +3.5 |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 22.0% | +0.5 |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 22.0% | -9.0 |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 19.5% | -7.5 |
| Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 18.7% | -7.6 |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 17.5% | -0.5 |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 17.5% | +1.0 |
| Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 15.5% | -0.5 |
| Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 14.0% | -0.5 |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | 10.5% | -8.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $70.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act, is priced at 52.0%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice