Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026 at 26.5%.

26.5%+0.5 pts 24h

Updated · Volume $425.0K

19%25%31%37%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14

Across platforms

5.1 pt spread
  • Polymarket26.5%
  • Kalshi21.4%

Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 1 tracked outcome and $425.0K in total trading volume.

Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice