Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...? : Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026 at 30.0%.
30.0%-9.0 pts 24h
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $84.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | 30.0% | -9.0 |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by September 30? | 0.0% | — |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31? | 0.0% | — |
The top 3 outcomes account for 30.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $84.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026, is priced at 30.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice