ACA Credits Extended & House Winner 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026 at 91.5%.
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Updated · Volume $408.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | 91.5% | 0.0 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will something else occur? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $408.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026, is priced at 91.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice