California Governor Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026 at 95.1%.
95.1%+0.3 pts 24h
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Updated · Volume $40.9M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 95.1% | +0.3 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 5.0% | -0.2 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Option I win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option J win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option N win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option O win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option P win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option R win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option Q win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option F win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option H win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option S win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option Z win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option G win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option L win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Other win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option W win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option Y win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option V win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option U win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option T win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option K win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option M win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option X win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.1% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 45 tracked outcomes and $40.9M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026, is priced at 95.1%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice