Aug 27, 2026
Probability rose from 3.0% to 48.4% — a 45.4-point move over the past day.
Prediction markets have settled Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 31, 2026 at 0.1%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Updated · Volume $46.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 31, 2026? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Aug 27, 2026
Probability rose from 3.0% to 48.4% — a 45.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 39.6% to 49.1% — a 9.6-point move over the past day.
Aug 20, 2026
Probability rose from 35.5% to 41.5% — a 6.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 19, 2026
Probability fell from 51.5% to 35.5% — a 16.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 18, 2026
Probability rose from 41.5% to 51.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 17, 2026
Probability rose from 38.0% to 41.5% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 16, 2026
Probability rose from 37.0% to 41.5% — a 4.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 16, 2026
Probability fell from 41.0% to 38.5% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 15, 2026
Probability rose from 36.5% to 43.5% — a 7.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 15, 2026
Probability rose from 38.0% to 41.5% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice