AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01 at 88.5%.
88.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Updated · Volume $446.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 88.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 11.2% | -0.9 |
| Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jason Duey be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Muchelle Ugenti-Rita be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Mark Brnovich be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $446.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01, is priced at 88.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice