2026 Midterms: Control of Congress Odds
Prediction markets price 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House at 62.5%.
62.5%0.0 pts 24h
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Updated · Volume $24.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 62.5% | 0.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | 27.5% | -1.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | 0.9% | 0.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $24.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House, is priced at 62.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice