2026 Midterms: Control of Congress Odds
Prediction markets price 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House at 50.5%.
50.5%+1.0 pts 24h
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Updated · Volume $10.8M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 50.5% | +1.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | 35.5% | +1.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 11.5% | 0.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | 0.9% | 0.0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | 0.3% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $10.8M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House, is priced at 50.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice