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Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Live Odds and Probability

Prediction markets price Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026 at 75.9%.

75.9%+6.0 pts 24h

Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Updated · Volume $233.1K

57%70%83%96%Aug 17Aug 25Sep 1Sep 8Sep 16
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?75.9%+6.0
Will The Weeknd be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?3.4%-0.4
Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?2.2%-0.3
Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?2.1%+0.1
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?1.4%-2.1
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?1.1%0.0
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.7%-0.4
Will Billie Eilish be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.7%0.0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.6%-0.0
Will SZA be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.4%-0.1
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.4%0.0
Will Tyler, The Creator be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Zach Bryan be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Doja Cat be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Ed Sheeran be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Luke Combs be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Artist M be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist E be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist C be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist G be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist I be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist B be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Other be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist D be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist F be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist K be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist L be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist J be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist N be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist H be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist A be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist Q be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist O be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Artist P be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 94.9% of the total probability.

Context

Sep 16, 2026

Probability fell from 83.7% to 75.9% — a 7.8-point move over the past day.

Sep 15, 2026

Probability fell from 83.7% to 69.8% — a 13.8-point move over the past day.

Sep 11, 2026

Probability rose from 72.8% to 81.1% — a 8.4-point move over the past day.

Sep 10, 2026

Probability fell from 83.7% to 69.4% — a 14.3-point move over the past day.

Sep 9, 2026

Probability fell from 83.7% to 77.6% — a 6.0-point move over the past day.

Show earlier updates

Sep 5, 2026

Probability rose from 74.5% to 83.6% — a 9.1-point move over the past day.

Sep 4, 2026

Probability rose from 74.0% to 81.3% — a 7.3-point move over the past day.

Sep 3, 2026

Probability fell from 84.2% to 73.5% — a 10.7-point move over the past day.

Sep 2, 2026

Probability fell from 84.0% to 70.8% — a 13.3-point move over the past day.

Sep 1, 2026

Probability rose from 75.6% to 84.0% — a 8.4-point move over the past day.

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 34 tracked outcomes and $233.1K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026, is priced at 75.9%.

Related events

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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