Sep 16, 2026
Probability fell from 83.7% to 75.9% — a 7.8-point move over the past day.
Prediction markets price Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026 at 75.9%.
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
Updated · Volume $233.1K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 75.9% | +6.0 |
| Will The Weeknd be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 3.4% | -0.4 |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 2.2% | -0.3 |
| Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 2.1% | +0.1 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 1.4% | -2.1 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.7% | -0.4 |
| Will Billie Eilish be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.6% | -0.0 |
| Will SZA be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyler, The Creator be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Zach Bryan be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Doja Cat be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Ed Sheeran be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Luke Combs be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist M be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist E be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist C be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist G be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist I be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist B be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Other be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist D be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist F be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist K be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist L be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist J be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist N be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist H be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist A be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist Q be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist O be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Artist P be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 94.9% of the total probability.
Sep 16, 2026
Probability fell from 83.7% to 75.9% — a 7.8-point move over the past day.
Sep 15, 2026
Probability fell from 83.7% to 69.8% — a 13.8-point move over the past day.
Sep 11, 2026
Probability rose from 72.8% to 81.1% — a 8.4-point move over the past day.
Sep 10, 2026
Probability fell from 83.7% to 69.4% — a 14.3-point move over the past day.
Sep 9, 2026
Probability fell from 83.7% to 77.6% — a 6.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 5, 2026
Probability rose from 74.5% to 83.6% — a 9.1-point move over the past day.
Sep 4, 2026
Probability rose from 74.0% to 81.3% — a 7.3-point move over the past day.
Sep 3, 2026
Probability fell from 84.2% to 73.5% — a 10.7-point move over the past day.
Sep 2, 2026
Probability fell from 84.0% to 70.8% — a 13.3-point move over the past day.
Sep 1, 2026
Probability rose from 75.6% to 84.0% — a 8.4-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 34 tracked outcomes and $233.1K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026, is priced at 75.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice