Chennai Grand Masters Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets give Alireza Firouzja a 100.0% chance — a near-certain shot — of winning the Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters 2026, scheduled for July 16 to 22, 2026.
Will C Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament
Updated · Volume $30.1K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 100.0% | — |
| Will C Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 50.0% | — |
| Will someone else Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 50.0% | — |
| Will A Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 50.0% | — |
| Will B Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 50.0% | — |
| Will Nihal Sarin Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 0.0% | — |
| Will Hans Niemann Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 0.0% | — |
| Will Arjun Erigaisi Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 0.0% | — |
| Will Pranesh Munirethinam Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 0.0% | — |
| Will Dmitry Andreikin Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 0.0% | — |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournament | 0.0% | — |
Alireza Firouzja is priced as the near-certain favorite, while all other potential winners remain remote long shots.
Context
The probability for Alireza Firouzja has moved to 100.0%. The market resolves to the winner of the Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters 2026, currently scheduled for July 16 to July 22, 2026. If the tournament is postponed after August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, cancelled, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to 'Other'. In case of co-winners, the first alphabetically listed name will settle the contract. Resolution relies on official information from the tournament organizer, MGD1, via chennaigrandmasters.com, or a consensus of credible reporting. The market's outcome depends on formal conditions: the tournament start date (Jul 22, 2026), the postponement deadline of August 5, 2026, and the requirement that a winner be determined within the framework. Resolution follows official sources.
FAQ
How is the winner determined?
The market resolves to the declared winner of the Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters 2026. Official results from the tournament organizer or credible reporting serve as the source.
What happens if the tournament is postponed or cancelled?
If the tournament is postponed after August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled outright, the market resolves to 'Other'. A winner must be declared within the original timeframe for any other outcome to settle.
What if multiple players share the title?
In the event of co-winners, the market settles in favor of the player whose name appears first alphabetically, as determined by the resolution source.
What is the resolution source?
The primary source is official information from MGD1, the tournament organizer, at chennaigrandmasters.com. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if necessary.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice