Clacton by-election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will someone else win the Clacton by-election at 50.0%.
50.0%
Will someone else win the Clacton by-election?
Updated · Volume $2.1M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | 95.3% | +1.1 |
| Will someone else win the Clacton by-election? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | 4.5% | — |
| Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election? | 0.2% | — |
| Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election? | 0.1% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 150.1% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $2.1M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will someone else win the Clacton by-election, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice