Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 94.5% to 100.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Cyclosporiasis cases show ‘vulnerabilities’ in US food safety system, experts say — The Guardian
Prediction markets have settled Will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Updated · Volume $50.9K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will there be at least 2000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | 0.1% | — |
| Will there be at least 7500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 94.5% to 100.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Cyclosporiasis cases show ‘vulnerabilities’ in US food safety system, experts say — The Guardian
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice