How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections at 31.5%.
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Updated · Volume $694.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | 31.5% | 0.0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | 24.0% | +0.5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | 18.5% | -0.5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | 17.5% | +0.5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | 7.0% | +1.3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | 1.1% | -0.0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 98.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $694.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections, is priced at 31.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice