Aug 28, 2026
Probability rose from 56.0% to 71.0% — a 15.0-point move over the past day.
Will US sports betting handle top key thresholds in 2026? Odds & analysis
Prediction markets price Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026 at 51.0%.
51.0%-2.0 pts 24h
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
Updated · Volume $95.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? | 78.1% | -0.2 |
| Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? | 71.5% | +0.1 |
| Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? | 51.0% | -2.0 |
| Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? | 23.5% | +8.5 |
Context
Aug 27, 2026
Probability rose from 55.0% to 73.0% — a 18.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 11, 2026
Probability fell from 77.8% to 67.3% — a 10.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 10, 2026
Probability fell from 78.1% to 66.5% — a 11.6-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $95.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026, is priced at 51.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice