Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 16.5% to 100.0% — a 83.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Lando Norris wins Hungarian Grand Prix for first F1 triumph in 2026 — Al Jazeera
Lando Norris Hungarian GP Podium Finish: Live Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand PrixEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $162.3K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 45.0% to 100.0% — a 55.0-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Lando Norris wins Hungarian Grand Prix for first F1 triumph in 2026 — Al Jazeera
Jul 26, 2026
Probability rose from 50.5% to 99.5% — a 49.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 26, 2026
Probability rose from 69.5% to 99.3% — a 29.8-point move over the past day.
Jul 26, 2026
Probability rose from 54.0% to 95.5% — a 41.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice