Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets have settled Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand PrixEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement

Updated · Volume $1.1M

0%33%67%100%Aug 22Aug 26Aug 30Sep 3Sep 6
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?100.0%
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.1%
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Driver A win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Driver C win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Driver E win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Driver B win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Driver D win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will any other driver win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?0.0%

Context

This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.

The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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