Kimi K3 released by…?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026 at 97.7%.
97.7%+8.5 pts 24h
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $56.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026? | 97.7% | +8.5 |
| Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
The top 4 outcomes account for 97.7% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $56.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026, is priced at 97.7%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice