Sep 22, 2026
Probability fell from 80.5% to 79.0% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Ligue 1 2027 Champion: Odds & Probability
Markets price Paris Saint-Germain’s chances of lifting the 2026-27 Ligue 1 trophy at 79.5%, making them the favored outcome. Updated 3 min ago.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will another team win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Updated · Volume $538.6K
Across platforms
31.0 pt spreadWill another team win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
- Polymarket50.0%
- Kalshi81.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 79.5% | -2.0 |
| Will another team win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Team B win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Team C win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Team A win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 6.3% | +0.1 |
| Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 3.6% | -0.1 |
| Will Rennes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 2.4% | -0.2 |
| Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.9% | -0.1 |
| Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.5% | -1.5 |
| Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Paris Saint-Germain is the favored outcome to win, while a handful of other clubs hover around even odds, and the rest are distant long shots.
Context
Sep 14, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 81.5% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 13, 2026
Probability rose from 78.5% to 81.5% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 5, 2026
Probability fell from 82.0% to 76.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 4, 2026
Probability fell from 81.5% to 76.5% — a 5.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 28, 2026
Probability fell from 85.5% to 78.0% — a 7.5-point move over the past day.
The contract’s price has, with a 0.0 pts shift in the past day and. It settles to the winner of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season. If a listed team is eliminated in the playoffs, that specific market resolves to “No”. Should the season be cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is crowned by then, the market resolves to “Other”. The primary resolution source is official Ligue 1 information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. What moves the probability are the formal deadlines: the resolution cutoff is Jun 15, 2027, and any playoff eliminations that rule a team out will trigger an early “No” for that team. A cancellation or delay beyond the cutoff would flip all outcomes to “Other”.
FAQ
Which league does this market cover?
It covers the top-tier French football league, Ligue 1, for the 2026-27 season.
How is the champion determined?
The team that finishes first in the final league standings after all matches and any playoffs is the champion.
What if Paris Saint-Germain is eliminated in the playoffs?
The market for PSG would resolve to “No” immediately, as they can no longer win the title.
What happens if the season is not completed?
If the season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to “Other”.
Who determines the official winner?
The primary source is official Ligue 1 information, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if the official source is unclear.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice