Sep 9, 2026
Resolved: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 3 Winner — YES. A week before, markets priced it at 100%.
LoL: Result & Final Odds
Prediction markets assigned a near-certain probability to Bilibili Gaming defeating LYON, pricing the match at 100.0% as of 18 min ago.
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsResolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before
Updated · Volume $6.3M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? | 100.0% | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 100.0% | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | 100.0% | — |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 100.0% | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 3 Winner | 100.0% | — |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 100.0% | — |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 100.0% | — |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 100.0% | — |
| Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill? | 50.0% | — |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 50.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 50.0% | — |
| Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill? | 50.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4? | 50.0% | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 4 Winner | 50.0% | — |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 0.0% | — |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5 | 0.0% | — |
| Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | 0.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 0.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? | 0.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? | 0.0% | — |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 0.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 0.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 0.0% | — |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | 0.0% | — |
| Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? | 0.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? | 0.0% | — |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | 0.0% | — |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? | 0.0% | — |
All listed outcomes, from the outright winner to side markets on kills and handicaps, reflected a similarly one‑sided view, each priced at near‑certain levels.
Context
The match, an upper bracket semifinal at the Mid-Season Invitational, had BLG as the heavy favourite from the start. The market will resolve to the winner of the best‑of‑five according to official results from gol.gg. If the match is cancelled entirely, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, it resolves 50‑50. A forfeit before the match starts also triggers a 50‑50 settlement, but a forfeit once play has begun awards the win to the opposing team. Minor name discrepancies are accepted as long as the intended team can be uniquely identified; otherwise it resolves 50‑50.
FAQ
How does this market resolve?
It resolves to the team that wins the match, based on official results from gol.gg. If no result is published within two hours, credible reporting or video evidence may be used.
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is cancelled entirely or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50‑50. A pre‑match forfeit also leads to 50‑50, but a mid‑match forfeit counts as a win for the team still able to play.
Do team name variations matter?
Minor differences—abbreviations, sponsor tags, formatting—are ignored as long as the intended team is clear. If a name could reasonably refer to two different teams in the same competition, the market resolves 50‑50.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice