LPL 2026 Season Winner: Prediction Market Probabilities

Prediction markets give Bilibili Gaming a 66% chance of claiming the LPL 2026 title. Anyone's Legend is the only other team in double digits, sitting at 10%.

69.0%+3.5 pts 24h

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Updated · Volume $1.6M

49%59%69%79%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?69.0%+3.5
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?8.0%-2.0
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?7.9%+1.0
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?7.1%+1.2
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?4.3%-0.2
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?1.4%0.0
Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?0.6%+0.1
Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?0.4%-1.4
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?0.1%
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?0.1%
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?0.1%
Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?0.1%
Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season?0.1%
Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season?0.1%
Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?0.1%
Will Team A win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team F win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team G win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team I win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team J win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team K win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team Y win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team X win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team U win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team H win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team E win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team Q win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team N win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team L win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team M win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team R win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team T win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team C win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team B win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team O win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team W win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team V win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team Z win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team D win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Another Team win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team P win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%
Will Team S win the LPL 2026 season?0.0%

Bilibili Gaming dominates at 66%. Anyone's Legend is second at 10%, while JD Gaming (8.9%) and Top Esports (7.1%) round out the top four. The rest of the probability is scattered among more than twenty other outcomes, none priced above 1.5% outside the top five.

Context

The League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season winner market shows Bilibili Gaming as the clear frontrunner. Contracts for Bilibili Gaming trade at 66%, implying a 66% probability. The market has attracted $1.63 million in total volume. The next closest outcomes are Anyone's Legend at 10%, JD Gaming at 8.9%, and Top Esports at 7.1%. Invictus Gaming holds 4.4%, and Weibo Gaming sits at 1.4%. Two teams are at 0.5%: LGD Gaming and Team WE. A group of seven teams—LNG Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas, Oh My God, EDward Gaming, Ultra Prime, and Royal Never Give Up—each show 0.1% probability. There are 15 additional outcomes priced at 0.0%. Fourteen of these are single-letter designations: Team A, Team F, Team G, Team J, Team Q, Team R, Team S, Team T, Team U, Team V, Team W, Team X, Team Y, and Team Z. The fifteenth is “Another Team,” which serves as a catch-all for any unlisted team or for scenarios where the 2026 season is postponed past December 31, 2026, cancelled, or fails to declare a winner by that date, per the market resolution rules. The $1.63 million in total volume has accumulated since the market opened, indicating persistent trader interest. All named teams together account for virtually the entire probability mass. The gap between Bilibili Gaming and the second-ranked outcome is 56 percentage points. Outside the top four, no team exceeds 5% probability. The large number of outcomes—over two dozen—makes the concentration of probability in a handful of teams notable.

FAQ

What is the LPL?

The League of Legends Pro League is a professional League of Legends competition. This market resolves according to the winner of the LPL 2026 season.

Who is favored to win the LPL 2026 season?

Bilibili Gaming is the clear favorite at 66%. Anyone's Legend follows at 10%, with JD Gaming (8.9%) and Top Esports (7.1%) next.

How are these probabilities determined?

Probabilities come from prediction markets where traders buy and sell contracts tied to specific outcomes. A contract for Bilibili Gaming trading at 66 cents, for example, corresponds to a 66% probability.

What does the “Another Team” outcome represent?

It covers any team not listed explicitly among the named outcomes, as well as cases where the 2026 LPL season is postponed past December 31, 2026, cancelled, or no winner is declared by that date. Currently it trades at 0.0%.

How much volume has this market seen?

Total trading volume exceeds $1.63 million.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice