Los Angeles Mayoral Election: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election at 53.8%.
53.8%-1.8 pts 24h
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Updated · Volume $15.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 53.8% | -1.8 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 46.5% | +2.0 |
| Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 12 tracked outcomes and $15.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, is priced at 53.8%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice