Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary at 76.5%.
76.5%-1.0 pts 24h
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Updated · Volume $899.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 76.5% | -1.0 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 23.3% | +1.4 |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.1% | — |
| Will any other person win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $899.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary, is priced at 76.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice