Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election at 39.5%.
39.5%+2.0 pts 24h
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Updated · Volume $431.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 39.5% | +2.0 |
| Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 32.0% | +0.5 |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 26.5% | -1.0 |
| Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.7% | +0.5 |
| Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Patrick Knight win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Jeff Johnson win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.3% | +0.1 |
| Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.3% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 11 tracked outcomes and $431.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election, is priced at 39.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice