ChanceIndex

2026 AL Cy Young Award: Current Odds & Market

Prediction markets price Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award at 67.7%.

67.7%-2.8 pts 24h

Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Updated · Volume $1.3M

39%52%66%79%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 31
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?67.7%-2.8
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?31.9%+7.8
Will Sonny Gray win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?2.3%+1.1
Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.6%0.0
Will Drew Rasmussen win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.3%-0.2
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Ranger Suarez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Sean Burke win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Bryce Miller win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Cole Ragans win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Carlos Rodón win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Joe Ryan win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will George Kirby win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will player AI win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player W win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player Y win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player Z win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player X win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AN win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player Q win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AB win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player J win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player L win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AF win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player V win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AD win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player M win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player H win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player P win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player K win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player N win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AG win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AK win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will another pitcher win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AM win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AJ win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AA win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AO win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player S win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player I win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player U win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AH win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AL win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player F win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AP win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player T win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player R win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player O win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AC win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AE win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player G win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 98.8% of the total probability.

Context

Aug 29, 2026

Probability rose from 62.7% to 73.0% — a 10.3-point move over the past day.

Aug 15, 2026

Probability rose from 59.9% to 62.4% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 14, 2026

Probability rose from 57.4% to 61.7% — a 4.3-point move over the past day.

Aug 13, 2026

Probability rose from 59.6% to 61.2% — a 1.6-point move over the past day.

Aug 7, 2026

Probability rose from 32.6% to 51.0% — a 18.4-point move over the past day.

Show earlier updates

Aug 6, 2026

Probability rose from 37.9% to 50.7% — a 12.9-point move over the past day.

Aug 4, 2026

Probability fell from 63.3% to 51.1% — a 12.2-point move over the past day.

Aug 4, 2026

Probability rose from 32.5% to 50.0% — a 17.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 4, 2026

Probability fell from 63.0% to 56.6% — a 6.4-point move over the past day.

Jul 30, 2026

Probability rose from 53.3% to 61.2% — a 7.8-point move over the past day.

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 65 tracked outcomes and $1.3M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award, is priced at 67.7%.

Related events

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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