Sep 11, 2026
Probability fell from 80.0% to 73.5% — a 6.5-point move over the past day.
MLB 2026 AL East Champion: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title at 72.2%.
72.2%-7.9 pts 24h
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?
Updated · Volume $264.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? | 72.2% | -7.9 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | 24.5% | +5.0 |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.8% | -0.3 |
| Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.5% | -0.0 |
| Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another team win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
Sep 5, 2026
Probability rose from 64.0% to 74.7% — a 10.6-point move over the past day.
Sep 4, 2026
Probability fell from 77.8% to 67.7% — a 10.2-point move over the past day.
Aug 31, 2026
Probability fell from 80.5% to 73.5% — a 7.1-point move over the past day.
Aug 30, 2026
Probability rose from 75.1% to 82.7% — a 7.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 29, 2026
Probability rose from 65.6% to 76.2% — a 10.6-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 59.1% to 61.2% — a 2.1-point move over the past day.
Aug 24, 2026
Probability rose from 58.1% to 61.9% — a 3.8-point move over the past day.
Aug 23, 2026
Probability fell from 61.7% to 57.3% — a 4.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 22, 2026
Probability fell from 67.8% to 59.0% — a 8.8-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $264.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title, is priced at 72.2%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice