Sep 21, 2026
Probability rose from 94.1% to 98.0% — a 3.9-point move over the past day.
MLB 2026 AL East Champion: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title at 99.9%.
99.9%+3.0 pts 24h
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?
Updated · Volume $278.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? | 99.9% | +3.0 |
| Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.0% | -0.9 |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another team win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
Sep 20, 2026
Probability rose from 83.9% to 95.8% — a 11.9-point move over the past day.
Sep 19, 2026
Probability fell from 94.2% to 83.9% — a 10.3-point move over the past day.
Sep 13, 2026
Probability rose from 76.4% to 84.8% — a 8.3-point move over the past day.
Sep 13, 2026
Probability rose from 72.1% to 81.1% — a 9.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Sep 11, 2026
Probability fell from 80.0% to 73.5% — a 6.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 5, 2026
Probability rose from 64.0% to 74.7% — a 10.6-point move over the past day.
Sep 4, 2026
Probability fell from 77.8% to 67.7% — a 10.2-point move over the past day.
Aug 31, 2026
Probability fell from 80.5% to 73.5% — a 7.1-point move over the past day.
Aug 30, 2026
Probability rose from 75.1% to 82.7% — a 7.5-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $278.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title, is priced at 99.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice