MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award at 89.5%.

89.5%+0.4 pts 24h

Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Updated · Volume $1.1M

66%76%85%95%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?89.5%+0.4
Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?5.9%+0.4
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?2.5%-0.1
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?1.6%0.0
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.5%-0.1
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.3%0.0
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.2%0.0
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.2%0.0
Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Eury Perez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Nick Lodolo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Mason Miller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Michael King win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Nick Pivetta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Spencer Schwellenbach win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Hunter Greene win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Chase Burns win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Jesus Luzardo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Logan Webb win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Blake Snell win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Spencer Strider win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Tyler Glasnow win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.1%0.0
Will player M win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player T win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player J win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AG win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AF win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AK win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AT win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player Z win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will Other win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AM win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player N win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player P win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AD win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AI win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AL win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player E win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player R win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player V win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player X win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AE win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AO win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AR win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player F win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player C win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player D win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player L win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player S win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player W win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player Y win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AN win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AJ win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AP win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AC win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AH win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player Q win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AS win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player I win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player U win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player O win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AB win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player K win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AA win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player AQ win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player G win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0
Will player H win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 98.3% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 69 tracked outcomes and $1.1M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award, is priced at 89.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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