MLB: 2026 NL MVP: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award at 86.0%.

86.0%+1.0 pts 24h

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Updated · Volume $1.2M

80%84%89%93%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?86.0%+1.0
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?12.2%0.0
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?1.1%0.0
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award?1.1%0.0
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.4%0.0
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%0.0
Will Kyle Tucker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%0.0
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%0.0
Will Andy Pages win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%
Will Francisco Lindor win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.1%
Will Player AO win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player F win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player S win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player H win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player W win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AE win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AA win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AF win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player Q win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player V win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AL win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player R win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player N win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player U win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player X win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player Z win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AG win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player K win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will another player win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player P win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AI win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AJ win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player E win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player O win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AK win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player T win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player L win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player G win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AB win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AH win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AC win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player Y win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player I win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player J win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AM win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AD win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player M win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%
Will Player AN win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0.0%

The top 5 outcomes account for 100.7% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 51 tracked outcomes and $1.2M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award, is priced at 86.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice