ChanceIndex

MLB NL Comeback Player of the Year: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award at 72.5%.

72.5%-3.0 pts 24h

Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?

Updated · Volume $150.7K

36%53%69%85%Aug 12Aug 20Aug 27Sep 4Sep 11
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?72.5%-3.0
Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?6.5%-0.5
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?4.3%0.0
Will Tanner Scott win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?4.2%-1.8
Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?3.5%-0.0
Will Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?3.3%0.0
Will Ezequiel Tovar win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?1.4%+0.1
Will Shota Imanaga win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?1.3%0.0
Will Porter Hodge win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?1.3%0.0
Will Sean Manaea win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.9%0.0
Will T win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will Q win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will H win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will O win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will F win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will M win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will E win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will S win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will K win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will N win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will C win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will J win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will G win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will L win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will I win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will A win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will D win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will P win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will someone else win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will B win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0
Will R win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 91.9% of the total probability.

Context

Aug 31, 2026

Probability rose from 54.5% to 64.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.

Aug 30, 2026

Probability fell from 67.0% to 57.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 29, 2026

Probability fell from 69.0% to 53.0% — a 16.0-point move over the past day.

Aug 27, 2026

Probability rose from 59.5% to 68.5% — a 9.0-point move over the past day.

Aug 26, 2026

Probability fell from 67.0% to 57.0% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.

Show earlier updates

Aug 25, 2026

Probability fell from 77.5% to 67.0% — a 10.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 24, 2026

Probability rose from 53.5% to 65.0% — a 11.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 23, 2026

Probability fell from 60.5% to 55.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 22, 2026

Probability rose from 49.5% to 62.5% — a 13.0-point move over the past day.

Aug 21, 2026

Probability fell from 62.0% to 56.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 31 tracked outcomes and $150.7K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award, is priced at 72.5%.

Related events

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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