MLB RBIs Leader 2026: Pete Alonso Leads Markets at 44.9%

The prediction market for the 2026 MLB runs batted in leader has drawn $1,435,110 in total wagers, with Pete Alonso at the top of the board: a 44.9% probability to finish the regular season with the most RBIs. That makes Alonso the favourite in a field that includes dozens of listed players. Behind Alonso, Yordan Alvarez holds a 10.0% probability and Kyle Schwarber 8.5%. Those are the only other outcomes above 5 per cent. Andy Pages follows at 4.3%, then a cluster that includes CJ Abrams (2.8%), Sal Stewart (2.5%), Liam Hicks (2.1%), and Cal Raleigh (2.1%). Beyond the top ten, the probabilities tail off rapidly. Riley Greene (2.0%), Brandon Lowe (1.6%), and Eugenio Suárez (1.5%) are among those with some support, while established names like Aaron Judge (0.7%) and Juan Soto (0.8%) sit well back. The contract resolves to the official MLB RBI leader at the end of the 2026 regular season. In case of a tie, the resolution applies a hierarchy: first home runs, then batting average, then hits, and finally alphabetical order of last name. If the season is cancelled or not completed by October 15, 2026, the contract settles as “Other.” The current roster of outcomes shows Alonso as the clear front-runner, and the distribution of probabilities across more than two dozen players means that no single alternative is priced as likely to surpass him. This market’s volume suggests active participation, and the broad spread of outcomes reflects the range of players traders have chosen to back. Alonso’s 44.9% figure makes him the single most likely winner, but the field collectively holds a 55.1% probability of producing a different RBI leader.