Sep 22, 2026
Probability fell from 66.5% to 56.0% — a 10.5-point move over the past day.
MLS: 2026 Coach of the Year: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year at 53.9%.
53.9%-5.8 pts 24h
Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?
Updated · Volume $84.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 53.9% | -5.8 |
| Will Robin Fraser win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 16.4% | -4.3 |
| Will Pablo Mastroeni win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 14.1% | +0.1 |
| Will Greg Vanney win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 12.7% | -1.8 |
| Will Phil Neville win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 12.7% | +3.8 |
| Will Yoann Damet win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 10.6% | +7.0 |
| Will Henrik Rydström win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 10.3% | +0.2 |
| Will Bradley Carnell win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 8.8% | +3.7 |
| Will Jesper Sørensen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 5.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Javier Mascherano win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 4.9% | +0.1 |
| Will Mikey Varas win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Will René Weiler win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Pascal Jansen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 3.8% | 0.0 |
| Will Raphael Wicky win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 3.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Marco Donadel win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 3.5% | -0.4 |
| Will Dean Smith win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Eric Quill win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Marko Mitrović win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Matt Wells win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Gregg Berhalter win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Óscar Pareja win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Pat Noonan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 1.8% | 0.0 |
| Will Marc Dos Santos win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 1.4% | +0.5 |
| Will Michael Bradley win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 1.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Gerardo “Tata” Martino win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Brian Schmetzer win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.9% | -0.0 |
| Will Ben Olsen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.8% | -0.1 |
| Will Nico Estévez win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Cameron Knowles win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Bruce Arena win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will coach J win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach C win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach G win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach I win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach M win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach N win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach D win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach A win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach K win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach B win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another coach win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach L win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach H win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach E win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach O win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will coach F win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
Sep 21, 2026
Probability rose from 45.5% to 58.7% — a 13.2-point move over the past day.
Sep 20, 2026
Probability rose from 4.2% to 59.9% — a 55.7-point move over the past day.
Sep 20, 2026
Probability rose from 4.3% to 18.8% — a 14.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 20, 2026
Probability rose from 4.5% to 33.4% — a 28.9-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Sep 19, 2026
Probability rose from 2.9% to 45.7% — a 42.8-point move over the past day.
Sep 19, 2026
Probability rose from 4.5% to 35.2% — a 30.7-point move over the past day.
Sep 19, 2026
Probability rose from 4.2% to 16.3% — a 12.1-point move over the past day.
Sep 19, 2026
Probability rose from 13.1% to 22.1% — a 9.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 19, 2026
Probability rose from 14.2% to 36.5% — a 22.3-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 46 tracked outcomes and $84.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year, is priced at 53.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice