Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 94.8% to 99.4% — a 4.5-point move over the past day.
Draymond Green Next Team: Live Market Probability
Markets price the chance that Draymond Green remains with the Golden State Warriors at 100.0%, a near-certain outcome. The contract settles when an official signing is announced, or at the deadline if he remains unsigned.
50.0%
Will Draymond Green play for Team A in 2026-27?
Updated · Volume $317.0K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for Team A in 2026-27? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for Team B in 2026-27? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for another team in 2026-27? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
The near-certain outcome for the Golden State Warriors dominates, while the other named contenders remain finely balanced and the remaining scenarios are long shots.
Context
Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 94.8% to 96.3% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability fell from 94.0% to 79.9% — a 14.1-point move over the past day.
Jul 26, 2026
Probability fell from 95.6% to 94.0% — a 1.6-point move over the past day.
Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 88.8% to 96.0% — a 7.2-point move over the past day.
It now sits at 100.0%. The market resolves to the next team Green officially joins. If he remains unsigned by Oct 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, retires, is released, or joins an unlisted team, the outcome is “Other.” An official signing announcement at any point resolves the contract immediately. Resolution sources are NBA or team announcements, or consensus among credible media reports. The approaching Oct 31, 2026 deadline and any credible reports of negotiations or contract offers could shift expectations. Formal resolution hinges on an official announcement, so unofficial leaks may not settle the market unless they become consensus.
FAQ
When does this market resolve?
It resolves when Draymond Green officially signs with a team, or on October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET if no team is joined by then.
What happens if he retires or is released?
The market resolves to “Other.”
What sources determine the outcome?
Official announcements from the NBA or the acquiring team, or consensus among credible media reports.
Can an unofficial leak resolve the market?
No, only an official signing announcement or a consensus of credible reporting will settle the market.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice