Aug 1, 2026
Probability rose from 94.6% to 96.1% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will James Harden play for Team B in 2026-27 at 50.0%.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will James Harden play for Team B in 2026-27?
Updated · Volume $1.3M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | 97.7% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for Team B in 2026-27? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for another team in 2026-27? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for Team A in 2026-27? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | 0.7% | -1.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Harden play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Context
Jul 31, 2026
Probability fell from 98.0% to 93.1% — a 4.9-point move over the past day.
Jul 30, 2026
Probability fell from 98.1% to 93.8% — a 4.3-point move over the past day.
Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 93.3% to 96.1% — a 2.8-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 89.0% to 96.9% — a 7.9-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 25, 2026
Probability fell from 97.2% to 94.0% — a 3.2-point move over the past day.
Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 88.3% to 97.2% — a 8.9-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability fell from 95.1% to 89.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Where will LeBron James go next? NBA star ‘not rushed’ to make a decision — Al Jazeera
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 33 tracked outcomes and $1.3M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will James Harden play for Team B in 2026-27, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice